SONG Ling1, CHANG Longtao1, LYU Shunming2, YANG Zhaohui1, LIU Xinfeng1, CHEN Guanzhong1
Abstract:
In order to improve the operational efficiency of photovoltaic (PV) power stations a proposal of multi-site forecasting model (MSFM) was proposed to addressing the multi-site location selection problem. In the proposed model, spatiotemporal correlation, event data, and meteorological factors were leveraged to predict power output across multiple sites. A three-dimensional tensor was introduced to represent spatiotemporal data, and tensor decomposition techniques were utilized to recover missing entries. Additionally, the spatiotemporal adjacency, trends, event text data, and meteorological impacts were modeled using both the three-dimensional tensor and the ResNet model. An experimental dataset was established using operational and meteorological data from 1,155 PV power stations in Jinan, Shandong Province. The performance of the proposed method was validated through mean absolute error, relative absolute error, root mean square error, and relative root mean square error, with at least 2.3%, 0.9%, 2.6%, and 2.5% reductions, respectively, in these four evaluation metrics, the experimental results demonstrated that the proposed method was applicable to multi-site location selection problems.