[1]李娟芳,刘幸..工程项目主体行为风险预警的物元分析模型[J].郑州大学学报(工学版),2012,33(03):5-9.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1671-6833.2012.03.002]
　Ll Juanfang,LIU Xing.Matter-element Analysis Model for Subjects’Behavior RiskEarly-warning Model of the Project[J].Journal of Zhengzhou University (Engineering Science),2012,33(03):5-9.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1671-6833.2012.03.002]
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工程项目主体行为风险预警的物元分析模型()
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《郑州大学学报(工学版)》[ISSN:1671-6833/CN:41-1339/T]

卷:
33卷
期数:
2012年03期
页码:
5-9
栏目:
出版日期:
2012-05-10

文章信息/Info

Title:
Matter-element Analysis Model for Subjects’Behavior RiskEarly-warning Model of the Project
作者:
李娟芳; 刘幸.
武汉大学 土木建筑工程学院,湖北武汉,430072, 武汉大学 土木建筑工程学院,湖北武汉,430072
Author(s):
Ll Juanfang;  LIU Xing
School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Wuhan Universiy, Wuhan 430072 , China
关键词:
工程项目;  主体行为风险;  物元分析;  三角模糊数;  风险预警
Keywords:
construction project;  subjects’behavior risk;  matter-element analysis;  triangular fuzzy number ; risk early-warning
分类号:
TU723:F224
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1671-6833.2012.03.002
摘要:
针对我国多数综合评价研究中存在的信息屏蔽和主观性问题,尝试采用物元分析法对我国工程项目主体行为风险进行预警评价,构建了包含6个准则层、16项具体指标的工程项目主体行为风险预警指标体系.为了方便专家对项目进行评价和更加有效地表达专家的评价信息,在专家采用语言变量对定性指标进行评价的基础上,运用三角模糊数将专家给出的各指标权重和定性评价结果进行量化和规范化,并在集结权重和评价值的基础上得到基于三角模糊数的权重向量和指标值向量,同时结合物元分析法中的综合关联度计算,确定预警风险等级.最后通过实证分析说明了具体运用过程,结果表明,该方法具有很强的实用性和借鉴价值.
Abstract:
To solve the problem of asymmetrie information and the influence of subjeetivity in major integratedassessment researches, the method of matter-element analysis was used to evaluate the subjects’ behavior riskof the project, the project risk early waring indicator system which contained criteria and 16 specifie indica.tors was constructed. In order to evaluate conveniently by experts and express experts’ evaluation informationwell and truly , triangular fuzzy number was introduced into the mode! to quantify and standardize the indexweight and evaluation results which were given by the experts after the experts evaluated qualitative indicatorsby linguistic variables, and the weight vector and index vector were obtained based on triangular fuzzy numberafter assembling the weight and the value, then combined with the comprehensive correlation calculation ofmatter-element analysis the early -warning of risk was determined. Finally, empirical analysis demonstrates thespecifie application process, and the conclusion shows that this method is very practical and reference value.
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01